Tight electoral dispute: Boulos and Nunes are technically tied in the race for SP City Hall, says Datafolha
According to the Datafolha survey, Boulos (PSOL) has 30% of voting intentions, while Nunes (MDB) has 29%. The survey was carried out between March 7th and 8th and interviewed 1,090 voters. The margin of error is three percentage points, both plus and minus
Guilherme Boulos (left) and Ricardo Nunes (right) – Photographic Reproduction/Internet
The race for mayor of São Paulo is increasingly fierce, with candidates Guilherme Boulos, from PSOL, and Ricardo Nunes, from MDB, technically tied according to the most recent survey carried out by the Datafolha institute. According to the data released this Monday (11), Boulos appears with 30% of voting intentions, while Nunes has 29%. Considering the margin of error of plus or minus two percentage points, the two candidates are in a technical tie.
The survey was carried out on March 7th and 8th, surveying 1,090 voters. The survey was registered with the Electoral Court under protocol SP-08862/2024. According to the results,Tabata Amaral (PSB) has 8% of voting intentions, followed by Marina Helena (Novo) with 7% and Kim Kataguiri (União Brasil) with 4%. Altino (PSTU) obtained 2% of voting intentions. 14% of voters stated that they would vote blank, null or for none of the candidates, and 6% stated that they did not know who would vote.
Electoral race for São Paulo City Hall
Source: Datafolha • Note: Margin of error is plus or minus three percentage points
This fierce dispute reflects the political polarization that has marked the electoral scenario, not only in São Paulo, but across the country. Boulos, supported by former president Lula and several social movements, defends a progressive agenda, focusing on housing policies, social inclusion and combating inequalities. Nunes, vice-mayor of the current administration, seeks to capitalize on the votes of the conservative base, with a platform based on public security and the continuity of the policies implemented by mayor Bruno Covas, who recently passed away due to cancer. The research also evaluated two other scenarios in the dispute for Mayor of São Paulo, removing the names of Kim Kataguiri and Tabata Amaral
Scenario without Kim Kataguiri
Source: Datafolha • Note: Margin of error is plus or minus three percentage points
Scenario without Kim Kataguiri and Tabata Amaral
Source: Datafolha • Note: Margin of error is plus or minus three percentage points
Spontaneous
Spontaneous research is one in which the interviewee does not receive a list of candidates or options to choose from. In this type of survey, the interviewee is free to answer who he considers to be his preferred candidate, without any external influence, that is, in spontaneous surveys, the names of candidates, political parties or any other information that could induce or direct are not presented. the interviewee's response. The objective is to obtain a genuine and immediate view of the voter, without interference or suggestions.
Source: Datafolha • Note: Margin of error is plus or minus three percentage points
